Monday 10 November 2014

Potential Abu Double Results

With double points being agreed for the final race of the season, Abu Dhabi has never been so important. Hamilton has been arguably the best driver this year, he has won most of the races and would be a popular World Champion. Rosberg has been consistent, has been strong in qualifying, and should he win the title then I hope that it isn't down to the double points rule.

As things stand, 17 points separate the two drivers meaning that with regular points being scored, Rosberg would either need to win with Hamilton finishing 7th or below, or Rosberg to come second and Hamilton not score any points.

Alas, we do have double points and so the situation changes and the race in Abu Dhabi becomes more important than ever.

If Hamilton finishes 1st or 2nd, he wins the Championship.
Rosberg must finish in the Top 5 to stand any chance of winning the title.

If Rosberg is to win in Abu Dhabi, Hamilton must finish second to win the Championship.
If Rosberg finishes 2nd, Hamilton must finish 6th or higher to win the Championship.
If Rosberg finishes 3rd, Hamilton must finish 7th or better.
If Rosberg finishes 4th or 5th, Hamilton must finish 9th or better.
If Rosberg finishes 6th or below, the title belongs to Hamilton.

Below them, Ricciardo has guaranteed himself 3rd place already but there is quite a battle for the 4th spot - with only 3 points currently separating Alonso, Vettel and Bottas.

At the bottom end of the table, Sauber remain pointless and have also confirmed that their driver lineup will change entirely for next season, with Marcus Ericsson moving across from Caterham and Filipe Nasr coming in from his current position as reserve driver for Williams. This means that currently, Adrian Sutil is without a drive which is something that makes me very happy.

Daniil Kvyat will be looking to Abu Dhabi to really push himself up the table. The Red Bull bound Russian is on a lowly 8 points and sits in 15th place, 14 points behind his teammate Jean-Eric Verge, who will argue that he probably should've been given the seat ahead of his rookie pal. For Kvyat to bump ahead of his teammate, he'll need a finish of 6th or better which seems a bit of a long shot. With normal points in place, he'd need to be on the podium to stand any chance.

So here are my hopes for Abu Dhabi;

I hope that the title isn't decided on because of the double points rule. If Rosberg wins it, I'd like him to do so by finishing 1st or 2nd with Hamilton in 6th or below.
I hope that the title isn't decided by technical faults. If Hamilton or Rosberg retire due to something that is not their fault, it really wouldn't sit right - unless Hamilton finishes 1st anyway.
I hope JEV has a good race and gets a seat for next season.
I hope Caterham return.
I hope that Sauber remain pointless, as Bianchi's hard fought points for Marussia sit there as a legacy of sorts to the French driver, who remains in a critical but stable condition following his crash in Japan. 

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